On seeing conflicting claims about NEM 2020 by weather enthusiasts in the past weeks, I thought of re-checking my analysis done on 26th August 2020, on NEM 2020. My main observations are as follows:
The first one on Mercury-Venus closeness beginning on 26th October 2020 can be fine-tuned further by my recent analysis on semi-sextile and sextile aspect between Mercury and Venus that was posted here
This newer insight helped me to zero in on 28th October for an important meteorological event with Mercury and Venus treading at a distance of 30 degrees from each other. Moon in watery sign enhances rainfall prospects.
See the positional chart below.
This date is now expected to be the NEM begin-date.
With Venus coming to Uttara Phalguni and continuing in morning sky, the scenario is favorable for rainfall in South India.
Transit of Venus in the east in favorable stars.
Venus appearing in the eastern sky before sunrise in the stars Magha, Purva Phalguni and the 1 pada of Uttara Phalguni (in the sign Leo) benefits a lot the regions of east India and those from Andhra towards east India.
The flood causing rain fall in Telangana and Andhra can be attributed to this.
As of today, east India also got benefited with Venus crossing over to the next sign, Virgo.
After having entered Virgo, the regions to the south of Andhra (that is Tamilnadu) must receive copious rainfall. This beneficial transit of Venus goes on till 21st November. But there comes a glitch if we take up the traditional wisdom into account – this wisdom handed out by the Tamil Sangam poets and NOT by Brihad Samhita or Prasna Marga, the two texts that are fundamental to my research.
The Sangam Age people thought that Venus in southern declination would not give rainfall! This cannot be dismissed as just a belief for, centuries of observation and verification had gone into this.
In the current times, Venus is going into the south from 31st October onwards. It would turn towards North on 18th January 2021, and enter the North by 24th March next year (2021).
Is rainfall going to be affected by this transit?
There are quite a few Tamil Sangam verses stating that Venus in the south of the ecliptic reduces rainfall or even causes dryness.
For the sake of record I am writing here what I have gathered.
- வடக்கு வறிது இறைஞ்சிய சீர் சால் வெள்ளி….
(Padhirru Patthu 24)
(Venus in the north.. giving rainfall)
- நிலம்பயம் பொழியச் சுடர் சினம் தணியப்
பயங் கெழு வெள்ளி ஆநிய நிற்ப
(Padhitru Patthu 69)
(Venus the benefactor stood where it should, so that the land received the rains and the sun reduced its heat)
- குண திசை நின்று குட முதல் செலினும்
குட திசை நின்று குண முதல் செலினும்
வட திசை நின்று தென் வயிற் செலினும்
தென்திசை நின்று குறுகாது நீடினும்
யாண்டு நிற்க வெள்ளியாம்
வேண்டியது உணர்ந்தோன் தாள் வாழியவே
(Pura Nanuru 386)
(Going from east to west, or west to east, or from north to south, or continuing in the south, the king knows what we want and provides us like Venus)
- வெள்ளி தென் புலத்துறைய விளை வயல் பள்ளம் வாடிய பயனில் காலை
(Pura Nanuru 388)
(The fields dried up due to Venus going to the South)
Now let me quote the ones that imply that though there was absence of rains due to Venus was in the South, the rivers were flowing with fresh inflows. It must be mentioned here that these verses were written in Chola regions or in east Tamilnadu or in Kāviri delta regions which are core NEM regions.
- மைம்மீன் புகையினும், தூமம் தோன்றினும், தென்றிசை மருங்கின் வெள்ளி ஓடினும் வயலக நிறைய புதர் பூ மலர
(Pura Nanuru 117)
(Even if Saturn looks smoky or a comet appears or Venus goes to the South, the bushes in the fields blossomed)
The same idea is repeated in Silappadhikaram but giving the clue we are looking for..
- கரியவன் புகையினும் புகைக் கொடி தோன்றினும்,
விரி கதிர் வெள்ளி தென் புலம் படரினும் ….
காவிரிப் புது நீர் கடுவரல் வாய்த்தல்
(Silappadhikaram 10- 102 to 109)
(Even if Saturn looks smoky or a comet appears or bright Venus goes to the South…. the river Kaviri comes with fresh waters.)
- வசையில் புகழ் வயங்கு வெண்மீன் திசை திரிந்து தெற்கேகினும்… வான் பொய்ப்பினும் தான் பொய்யாக் காவிரி
(Pattinappaalai 1-6)
(Even if the praiseworthy Venus of white colour changes the direction and goes to the South causing failure of rainfall, Kaviri never disappoints us – meaning to say, Kaviri will flow copiously)
This verse hints at good rainfall in the Western Ghats – in the catchment areas though the regions in east and central Tamilnadu did not see rainfall. This also suggests dry NEM region but a simultaneous bounty in non NEM regions.
Discussion
Being in the 5th year of observation oriented research, the following are the perceptions gathered so far.
- Venus in particular transits written earlier is indeed bountiful.
- The planetary triggers such as retrogression are indeed there for meteorological events, but with Venus in adverse transit (say, in east when it should be in west to support rainfall) the ensuing systems benefitted non-NEM regions. This is in tune with the last two verses above that refer to failure of rainfall due to adverse Venus, but absence of water scarcity due to inflows in the river.
- In 2017 Venus was in morning sky when it ought to be in evening sky for rainfall and it was in southern declination.
This should have wiped out any rainfall, but there were OTHER PLANETARY TRIGGERS.
The result was formation of Cyclone Ockhi that went on to benefit non-NEM regions. This trend can be seen in other events too. Let me point out the 2019 scenario from IMD Report for NEM 2019
Of the four LPS, three were formed when Venus was in favorable transit in the stars in the evening sky (Read my blog), but in southern declination!
The favorable dates of Venusian transit in 2019 were from October 9th to November 10th.
In the same period Venus was in southern declination.
In the same period the three systems that formed, went on to benefit the non-NEM regions. (IMD Report 2019)
The report showed deficient November 2019 for Tamilnadu, the region that is supposed to be the direct beneficiary of NEM. In that year Chennai received rains after 20th November in tune with Local Garbottam.
In the current year, Venusian transit lasts till 21st November. Till 31st October it is in northern declination and therefore will benefit the NEM regions. But between 1st and 21st November, the systems triggered by other factors are likely to benefit non-NEM regions.
Taking stock of the triggers of this period (from my 26th August blog),
Till 3rd November there will be rains that are initially triggered by 28th October semi-sextile aspect between Mercury and Venus.
Then there is a brief lull till Nov 16th when Saturn- Sun- Mars enter a powerful rainfall Yoga.
If this develops into a system initial benefactor would be some non-NEM region. Rainfall returns after 21st November.
Local Garbottam for Chennai shows rains after 21st November only.
Solar Garbottam shows dryness in the same period.
Waiting to see for other NEM regions.
In this period, Mars in Dahana Naadi comes in direct opposition to Venus on 10th November.
There is a Tamil Sangam verse on this connection too.
அழல் சென்ற மருங்கின் வெள்ளியோடாது
மழை வேண்டு புலத்து மாரி நிற்ப
(Padittru Patthu 13)
(Not going to the region of Mars, Venus stayed where it rains)
Mars in Dahana Naadi was found not a hindrance when beneficial planetary yogas co-existed.
Now in this period till 21st November, two planetary yogas are overlapping.
With Venus becoming powerless, and Mars in exact opposition, this period is also becoming a test period to gain newer insights.
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